Crime and reality

October 15th, 2009 4:02 pm · 2 comments

Via Sullivan, verrrrry interesting piece by Ryan Sager about how crime has essentially remained flat - after falling precipitously - yet we all think it’s way up:

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With the exception of 2001 and 2002 (9/11 effect?), between 52% and 89% of Americans every year since 1990 have thought that crime is on the rise. That’s a pretty remarkable statistic, given that crime declined steadily nationally throughout the 1990s and has remained essentially level in the 2000s. Whatever the year-to-year correspondence is, we know that people have gotten the big picture wildly wrong, year after year.

That is, people pretty much always seem to think that this year is worse than last, regardless of the actual trends.

Does this sound like anything else to you? How about: This generation is so much stupider/lazier/ruder than the last; politics is so much dirtier these days; the world is going to hell in a hand basket.

For whatever reason, this seems to be the default human predisposition.

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  2 comments  Tags: crime

There are currently 2 comments on this blog post
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ArtVandolay
10/16/09
9:11 AM
Gives me warm fuzzies knowing that someone else can think for me.

What's next?
clanker
10/16/09
9:16 AM
Maybe reports of crimes have gone up. Child abduction in Texas causes parents to make the kids play inside here. Much of the population is in the grip of fear and they tend to focus more on the bogeymans of society. Gun sales skyrocket. It's all a false perception.
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