Right all along

May 19th, 2009 10:20 am · 2 comments

Interesting. Richard Florida over at Sullivan’s place links to a Gallup poll finding that “The decline in Republican Party affiliation among Americans in recent years … has occurred among nearly every major demographic subgroup.”

Notes the poll:

the Republicans’ losses tend to be greater among groups that were not strong GOP supporters to begin with. These include self-identified liberals and moderates, church non-attenders, and lower-income and young adults. Thus, a big factor in the GOP’s overall decline is the Democratic Party’s consolidating its support among normally Democratically leaning groups.

In turn, the GOP has generally avoided significant losses among only its most loyal groups, including frequent churchgoers and self-identified conservatives. The Republican Party maintains majority support among these two groups.

This answers a big question for me.

One might have assumed - after the party nominated McCain, a “RINO” - that conservatives would have left the party, feeling betrayed. But Gallup suggests that everyone but conservatives are leaving the party. Conservatives have now firmly seized the party and made it theirs; and it now more fully reflects the views of that 25 percent of the electorate than ever before.

How this wins future elections remains a mystery - though perusing the comments on various conservative blogs, the assumption seems to be that once the Obama and the Democrat Party goes down in flames, the Republicans will just step in to show the nation that, see, we were right all along!

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  2 comments  Tags: Republican Party

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StrobeSML
5/19/09
11:13 AM
I don't think that Obama will go down in flames but I also don't think that he will have a strong enough success to be considered the next coming of Christ. His success will be, mainly, in improvement of the economy. I think we're finally beginning to see stabilization may even start to see growth in the next few months.

Even so, I think there will rise some opposition and I don't think it will be the Republican party which will continue to take some losses. I think it is possible that a new party will come into the fore that will take some of the core values of the Republican party before it was taken over by the social conservative warhawks.

Hopefully, such a party would maintain a more moderate stance, making it possible to work across the aisle, while still acting in opposition to the more liberal policies that would be unchecked when (not if) the Republican party goes down in flames.

The biggest problem would be in getting a strong voice in that party. There are loud spokesmen at the extremes of each party: from Rush Limbaugh and Anne Coulter on the right to Keith Olbermann and Michael Moore on the left. However, there is no loud moderate voice yelling "Both sides are idiots!" That's probably because the idea of a moderate ideolog just doesn't work.
O311mc
5/19/09
12:00 PM
QUOTE (StrobeSML @ May 19 2009, 12:13 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
The biggest problem would be in getting a strong voice in that party. There are loud spokesmen at the extremes of each party: from Rush Limbaugh and Anne Coulter on the right to Keith Olbermann and Michael Moore on the left. However, there is no loud moderate voice yelling "Both sides are idiots!" That's probably because the idea of a moderate ideolog just doesn't work.


well said.
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