Remain calm, all is (not) well

September 30th, 2008 11:02 am · 4 comments

Sitting around at a kids’ birthday party last night talking with some other parents about the economy, and one of the guys who does some day trading was talking about how there seems to be this desperation to see minor upticks the day after a major sell-off as a “return to normalcy” when in fact it isn’t.

It resonated because Drudge does this continually. Today, he links to a story about how the market has rebounded slightly after yesterday’s historic plunge, and his headline:

“Calm returns.”

I check in on Drudge several times a day, and he does this all the time. Things are getting back to normal! Move along, nothing to see here!

Garbage.

Check out the following graphic on what happened after the 1929 crash. Note how there were numerous partial recoveries - even as the market continued to sink:

1929crash.jpg

Now, maybe the crashing we’ve seen doesn’t follow this same trajectory; but as you look at this graphic, consider how many times Drudge, had he been around, would have headlined his site with “Calm prevails” or “Back to normal.”

Have no doubt about the historic nature of what we’re seeing right now. And we may have quite some time to go yet - talking to local economists for last week’s story on how this affects us, virtually everyone said they think housing prices are going to continue falling for several months, at least. The banks’ situation gets worse, maybe a lot worse, before it gets better.

“Normalcy,” in other words, is a long way off. Regardless of what Drudge tries to manipulate you into thinking.

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  4 comments  Tags: Drudge · Economy · Media

There are currently 4 comments on this blog post
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dragonrider
9/30/08
11:55 AM
QUOTE (Lancaster Online @ Sep 30 2008, 12:05 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Post your thoughts and comments about this blog post.
Yes but Sarah Plain can shoot and field dress a moose, isn't that so kewl.
easy
9/30/08
12:47 PM
QUOTE (Lancaster Online @ Sep 30 2008, 11:05 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Post your thoughts and comments about this blog post.

Gil, crockhead left me a comment this morning in which he wonders about the word "normalcy", he wants to know what the heck it means. Since you used it here maybe you could help him out.
tourman
9/30/08
1:00 PM
Please...enough of the Palin bashing.
Tell me exactly what the HELL your woman in high places, Nancy Pelosi, has accomplished?

Lots of silence approaching.....That plastic puss hag is a National disgrace...first 100 days, huh???
Still waiting for ANYTHING productive from her... beside blaming EVERYTHING wrong on everyone else.
Don't we all have enough REAL issues to occupy us right now other than finding anything, be it true or false about Gov. Palin...perhaps we could begin with the Biden negatives, or do we not have THAT kind of time?
littledutchboy
9/30/08
1:27 PM
How comes when I screw up I have to pay for it but when Wall Street screws up I have to pay for it too? Not saying there shouldn’t be some kind of governmental action although if Wall Street was left twisting in the wind we know there will be reforms, investors will demand it, if we bail them out I doubt weather there will be reforms. Or a more simplified question; why should tax payers lose money to stop Wall Street from losing money?

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