Corporate highway

May 20th, 2008 2:52 pm · 7 comments

turnpike.jpg

Reading the stories about the proposed Turnpike lease, I come away wary.

The Turnpike, whatever you might say about it, is a public asset. The privatization of what the public has already paid for seems the next big wave in governance, as governments like Pennsylvania become desperate to raise new revenue. Since we can’t raise taxes, the public wouldn’t put up with that, the only other option is to be creative. Casinos were one aspect of that “creativity”; giving away public assets is another.

Of course, “giving away” is a misnomer. The Spanish consortium that would lease, operate and maintain the road would pay $12.8 billion for 75 years:

If the money from Barcelona-based Abertis Infraestructuras is invested properly, Mr. Rendell said yesterday, the one-time, upfront payment could result in Pennsylvania getting $1.1 billion a year. The money would be used to fix 9,000 miles of deteriorated highways and 5,000 structurally deficient bridges and to financially bolster dozens of mass transit agencies around the state, including the Port Authority of Allegheny County.

That’s obviously a worthy pursuit, but is this a best-case scenario? I suspect it is. What if - and heaven forbid, but then again we’re talking Pennsylvania here - the money isn’t invested wisely?

The deal, I suspect, is worth Abertis Infraestructuras’ time because when the existing labor contracts are up, the outfit will lowball the unions - maybe undermine them entirely. And, this effectively puts the Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission out of business. Not a bad thing, and in fact, it probably takes a private outfit to do this. The political will to get rid of the patronage machine would not otherwise exist.

But I’m left to wonder: What will it ultimately cost to travel the Pennsylvania Turnpike?

Tolls are already going up - 25 percent beginning in January, according to Act 44; thereafter, a yearly hike of either 2.5 percent or the rate of inflation as reflected in the Consumer Price Index, whichever is larger.

Just for the sake of comparison, in April, the CPI was up 3.9 percent from the following year.

But might deals like this also have other, unintended consequences? For whatever reason, the deregulation of the electricity industry comes to mind. What was touted as the “best,” most competitive choice, deregulation, is turning out to be a disastrous one for consumers, once the likes of PPL get through with their massive rate hikes over the next few years. That was a decision that will have ramifications for years; so, too, will be the Turnpike lease decision.

But the thing is, unless Pennsylvanians would themselves agree to new and higher taxes, or tolls beyond what Act 44 instituted - there’s no real choice, is there? The need to shop the Turnpike around is an indicator of the decay of our system; individual states are so desperate for infrastructure funding that they’ll actually turn control of that infrastructure to corporate entities. That, in turn, cedes additional power to those corporate entities, over the citizens who up to now have owned these roads.

It is, in other words, another milepost on the road to what might be called the corporatization of America, whereby private companies have more control than anytime in recent memory. Government backs away either for ideological reaons or, in this case, because it doesn’t have the money and citizens refuse to provide the money. So we’re stuck - privatization or bust. And there’s more of it to come.

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  7 comments  Tags: Pennsylvania

There are currently 7 comments on this blog post
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ArtVandolay
5/20/08
3:28 PM
Seems like Ed "El Capi-tan" Rendell wants to push this through. Will we be paying tolls in Spanish currency?



You can bet the tolls will increase especially for truckers, which will result in even higher costs for consumer goods.



Take Amtrak! Then you can reduce that monstrosity of a carbon footprint we all create!

charlie_crystle
5/20/08
10:16 PM
ftp://ftp.dot.state.pa.us/public/pdf/preliminaryfindings.pdf



This is very heavily weighted toward the Gov's desired outcome. Morgan Stanley is not an independent, honest broker in this deal. And the Governor seems to be basing his ROI on the 12.8 (minus fees, big fees) billion times S&P CAGR of 30 years (~9.7%) but the last 10 years has been 5.67%, quite a bit lower return.



My question is this: if it makes so much financial sense for a company to spend that amount of capital up front, why would we lease the asset and not exploit it better ourselves? They'll raise rates. So raise them ourselves. They'll develop more efficient tolls. We can do that, it's called EZ Pass and it's already there. They'll add more amenities to the res stops and increase rest stops, in all likelihood--well, we can do that too.



It doesn't make sense on the face of it, and with some digging, you'll see Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley walking away happy with the deal (they get brokerage fees regardless of the benefit to society) and us stuck with it.





gsmart
5/21/08
9:28 AM
QUOTE(charlie_crystle @ May 20 2008, 10:16 PM) [snapback]391798[/snapback]
ftp://ftp.dot.state.pa.us/public/pdf/preliminaryfindings.pdf



This is very heavily weighted toward the Gov's desired outcome. Morgan Stanley is not an independent, honest broker in this deal. And the Governor seems to be basing his ROI on the 12.8 (minus fees, big fees) billion times S&P CAGR of 30 years (~9.7%) but the last 10 years has been 5.67%, quite a bit lower return.



My question is this: if it makes so much financial sense for a company to spend that amount of capital up front, why would we lease the asset and not exploit it better ourselves? They'll raise rates. So raise them ourselves. They'll develop more efficient tolls. We can do that, it's called EZ Pass and it's already there. They'll add more amenities to the res stops and increase rest stops, in all likelihood--well, we can do that too.



It doesn't make sense on the face of it, and with some digging, you'll see Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley walking away happy with the deal (they get brokerage fees regardless of the benefit to society) and us stuck with it.









But the big factor in this is personnel costs, something that private interests would indeed be better able to address than the state would:



1. The Turnpike Commission - leasing the road effectively undermines the commission, perhaps fatally.



2. Labor contracts - you know as well as I do there's no way the Spanish consortium will pay what the unions want, and will ace the unions out.



The state's hands are tied in both cases; personnel costs are one area in which private interests can bring costs down. We can argue the morality of doing so, what this does to the union workers/families, etc., but the point is that without this sort of change, tolls/taxes have to go up by that much more, on a consistent basis.



More worrying for me is the fact that one of the leading bidders - the outfit that won the lease for the Chicago Skyway and Indiana Toll Road - backed out of the Pennsylvania bidding at the last minute:



This week, a consortium made up of Spain-based Cintra and Australia's Macquarie Infrastructure Group decided against increasing its bid to run the 356-mile mainline Turnpike and the 110-mile Northeast Extension, according to Tollroadsnews.com, an online trade publication based in Frederick, Md.

That's significant because the Cintra/Macquarie consortium outbid its nearest competitors for the Chicago Skyway and Indiana Toll Road each by more than $1 billion, suggesting it could have submitted the highest bids for the Turnpike if it wanted the lease.

Now, only two investment groups are in the running, Tollroadsnews reported.



''If I was a Pennsylvania official, I'd be very concerned about Cintra backing out,'' said Craig Johnson, a professor at Indiana University in Bloomington, Ind., who co-wrote a 2007 study examining the Chicago and Indiana deals.



Now, Johnson went on to say, may not be the best time to do a long-term lease


charlie_crystle
5/21/08
4:00 PM
QUOTE(gsmart @ May 21 2008, 09:28 AM) [snapback]391896[/snapback]




But the big factor in this is personnel costs, something that private interests would indeed be better able to address than the state would:



1. The Turnpike Commission - leasing the road effectively undermines the commission, perhaps fatally.



2. Labor contracts - you know as well as I do there's no way the Spanish consortium will pay what the unions want, and will ace the unions out.



The state's hands are tied in both cases; personnel costs are one area in which private interests can bring costs down. We can argue the morality of doing so, what this does to the union workers/families, etc., but the point is that without this sort of change, tolls/taxes have to go up by that much more, on a consistent basis.



More worrying for me is the fact that one of the leading bidders - the outfit that won the lease for the Chicago Skyway and Indiana Toll Road - backed out of the Pennsylvania bidding at the last minute:



This week, a consortium made up of Spain-based Cintra and Australia's Macquarie Infrastructure Group decided against increasing its bid to run the 356-mile mainline Turnpike and the 110-mile Northeast Extension, according to Tollroadsnews.com, an online trade publication based in Frederick, Md.

That's significant because the Cintra/Macquarie consortium outbid its nearest competitors for the Chicago Skyway and Indiana Toll Road each by more than $1 billion, suggesting it could have submitted the highest bids for the Turnpike if it wanted the lease.

Now, only two investment groups are in the running, Tollroadsnews reported.



''If I was a Pennsylvania official, I'd be very concerned about Cintra backing out,'' said Craig Johnson, a professor at Indiana University in Bloomington, Ind., who co-wrote a 2007 study examining the Chicago and Indiana deals.



Now, Johnson went on to say, may not be the best time to do a long-term lease






That's worrisome, sure. The labor issue is usually one of abandonment; kill good jobs and replace with crap jobs. But that's less the issue than the financial viability of the bridge funds. A lot of bridges need a ton of work, and I doubt the revenue can really cover it. What I am certain of here is that the legislature is not going to allow this to go through. Rendell as Thatcher...who knew.

gsmart
5/21/08
4:09 PM
QUOTE(charlie_crystle @ May 21 2008, 04:00 PM) [snapback]392128[/snapback]

Rendell as Thatcher...who knew.





He doesn't have the shoes for it.

charlie_crystle
5/21/08
11:10 PM
QUOTE(gsmart @ May 21 2008, 04:09 PM) [snapback]392132[/snapback]




He doesn't have the shoes for it.





red shoes, the angels (and imelda) want to wear my red shoes...

Kate
5/21/08
11:13 PM
QUOTE(charlie_crystle @ May 21 2008, 11:10 PM) [snapback]392272[/snapback]

red shoes, the angels (and imelda) want to wear my red shoes...


When you're wearing those red shoes do you click the heels together and state "there's no place like home?" tongue.gif
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