Our speculative economy

November 29th, 2007 5:19 pm · 2 comments

Nail, meet hammer:

Overall, we’ve got the most speculative economy in more than 100 years. Americans have embraced a culture where a cash settlement derivative contract is considered to be a solid investment vehicle and where opaque complex structured assets are sold to public pension funds. There’s been a complete abandonment of prudential rules and guidelines, a process led by the Congress and aided by federal regulators. As a nation, we’ve come full circle since the financial crises of a century ago. Today we have a financial system that has little personal financial discipline and massive moral hazard, where the taxpayer is picking up the messes created via private speculation. …The competitive position of the U.S. economy and our ability to employ people is eroding fast. The growth prospects of the U.S. will be hampered because our people are less and less able to afford basic necessities like housing. We’ll see growth in the Southeast, which has benefited from industrial relocation by Japanese carmakers, and in the Southwest, because of the growth of trade with Asia. But look at Ohio and Michigan–we’re going to see large areas of the US being depopulated. The industrial heartland is going to be a sad place to be. American corporations will do fine, profits will be good. But it’s going to be a very tough environment for consumers and the average American.

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  2 comments  Tags: Economy

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charlie_crystle
11/29/07
11:39 PM
He left out the fact that 70% of the economy is driven by consumer spending, and that GDP only measures whether the water's rising, not whether it's poisoned and depleted of oxygen for those trying to keep their head above it.



We've financed this economy on debt and deficits: trade deficit with China means economic activity happening there that would have happened here, federal debt through Bush's huge deficits, which don't include the Iraq war, btw, which is another clusterfocken; consumer debt, which is 5 times higher than in the 90's, and the use of asset-backed debt in the form of home equity. When the credit markets tighten, all spending will tighten, and that 70% of the economy is going to shrink.



Of course, the credit markets could never tighten in America...oh wait. Nevermind. What could possibly go wrong?





Whirlwind
12/1/07
4:02 PM
"We've financed this economy on debt and deficits: trade deficit with China means economic activity happening there that would have happened here," charlie_crystle



Well said. How are we ever going to pay for our debts, let alone afford speculation, by mowing each others grass?

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