It is waaaaaaay too early to make any definitive conclusions about November based on a poll in June, but …
The results are part of the Quinnipiac University poll conducted simultaneously in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania asking likely voters their opinions of 2008 presidential hopefuls.
Sen. Obama, who holds a 52 to 40 percent edge over Sen. McCain, leads in almost every demographic group except men, said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. Sen. McCain holds a narrow lead among likely men voters, 47 to 45 percent.
White voters in the state prefer Sen. Obama, 47 to 44 percent.
“Obama now leads in all three critical swing states polled by Quinnipiac University, with smaller margins in Ohio and Florida than he has in Pennsylvania,” Mr. Richards said.
Florida is definitely in play. Ditto Ohio. But Pennsylvania? As of right now, with Dems holding a 1 million voter edge over Republicans in an election where the three major elements - unpopular war (where a lot of Pennsylvania soldiers have died), unpopular president, sagging economy - favor Democrats, Pennsylvania is Obama’s to lose.
