An Associated Press roundup of recent state polls — in Ohio, Indiana and Wisconsin — gives John McCain very little to smile about.
We have to hope he does well in tonight’s debate. If he doesn’t, it could be a long four weeks until Election Day.
By The Associated Press
THE POLL: Washington Post-ABC News poll of 772 likely Ohio voters (20 electoral votes).
THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama, 51 percent; John McCain, 45 percent.
OF INTEREST: Obama’s lead revolves around the worry about the economy. Those who say it is the biggest issue favor Obama 61-34 percent; those who say the biggest issue is something else back McCain 57-38 percent. Obama is generating more enthusiasm among his voters: 58 percent say they are very enthusiastic while 30 percent say the same about McCain. Women are solidly backing Obama 56-42 percent; in 2004 they split evenly between George W. Bush and John Kerry. Only about half of all Ohio voters think Obama is experienced enough to be president.
DETAILS: The poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 3-5 with 772 likely voters out of a total sample of 1,010 adults in Ohio. The sampling error was plus or minus 3 percentage points.
MORE: http://abcnews.go.com/PollingUnit/Politics/story?id5963651&page1
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THE POLL: A WISH-TV Indiana Poll of likely Indiana voters (11 electoral votes).
THE NUMBERS: John McCain 46 percent, Barack Obama 46 percent.
OF INTEREST: Most recent statewide polls have shown a tight race in Indiana, where a Democratic presidential candidate last won in 1964. A similar poll of the state by the same company released last week found McCain with 46 percent support to Obama’s 45 percent.
DETAILS: Conducted Sept. 29-Oct. 3 by telephone of 800 likely voters by Maryland-based Research 2000. Margin of error plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
MORE: http://www.wishtv.com/
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THE POLL: CNN/Time magazine/Opinion Research Corp. of 859 likely voters in Wisconsin (10 electoral votes).
THE NUMBERS: Obama 51, McCain 46.
OF INTEREST: The poll is in line with other recent surveys showing Obama with a small lead in Wisconsin, but the race remains close. CNN says the numbers are enough to put Wisconsin in the “leaning toward Obama” category instead of a toss-up.
DETAILS: Conducted Oct. 3-6 by telephone. The poll has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
Yikes! I suppose we can also hope that the polls are wrong.
